Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Bears vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
- In registering a monstrous 34.4 pass attempts per game this year, Kyler Murray stands among the top QBs in the league (75th percentile) by this measure.
- The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (266.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football versus the Bears defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
207
Passing Yards
207
Passing Yards
