NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Stefon DiggsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Chargers vs. Bills
Right now, Stefon Diggs’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Bills to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
- Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to accrue 9.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- With an impressive 29.8% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs has been among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.
- As it relates to air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among WRs this year, accumulating a monstrous 104.0 per game.
Cons
- An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being an enormous 12.5-point favorite in this game.
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- Stefon Diggs’s 78.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 90.0 rate.
- Stefon Diggs’s ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 72.7% to 67.1%.
- Stefon Diggs’s 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 9.6 rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards
81
Receiving Yards
