Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Browns vs. Bears
Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 2nd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Among all running backs, D’Onta Foreman ranks in the 75th percentile for carries this year, taking on 39.0% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
- As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 9th-best in the league last year.
- D’Onta Foreman has picked up 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
- As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Cleveland’s group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Cons
- Right now, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.
- Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 100.0 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
