NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Saints vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-115) after it opened @ 70.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants have been the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 41.4% run rate.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.7 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to earn 18.7 carries in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- With a stellar total of 77.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile), Saquon Barkley rates as one of the top RBs in the league this year.
- The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in football (130 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
Cons
- The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
- When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Giants grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
- As it relates to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, New Orleans’s unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards
78
Rushing Yards
