Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Breece HallRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Dolphins vs. Jets
Right now, Breece Hall’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-120) after it opened @ 43.5 (-115).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to total 12.6 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Breece Hall has garnered 54.6% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Breece Hall ranks as one of the top running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.14 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 88th percentile.
Cons
- An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog in this game.
- The projections expect the Jets as the 7th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projection model to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
- The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Jets this year (only 55.9 per game on average).
- This year, the weak Miami Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 4.00 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s ground game: the 25th-largest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
