Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Matthew StaffordPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Rams vs. Commanders
Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 278.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 278.5 (-137) after it opened @ 262.5 (-117).
Pros
- At the present time, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.
- The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Matthew Stafford has attempted 37.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 77th percentile among QBs.
- Matthew Stafford has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (254.0) this season than he did last season (220.0).
- This year, the weak Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a staggering 266.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in football.
Cons
- This game’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- Matthew Stafford’s passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 60.1%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards
278
Passing Yards
