Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 278.5 yards (-137/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 278.5 (-137) after it opened @ 262.5 (-117).

Pros

At the present time, the 9th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Matthew Stafford has attempted 37.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 77th percentile among QBs.
Matthew Stafford has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (254.0) this season than he did last season (220.0).
This year, the weak Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a staggering 266.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in football.

Cons

This game’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Matthew Stafford’s passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 60.1%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards