NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 5.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
- After totaling 41.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has been rising this season, currently pacing 52.0 per game.
- George Kittle’s 49.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 42.2.
- George Kittle’s 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 49.0 figure.
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The model projects the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
