Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 276.5 yards (-120/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 276.5 (-115) after it opened @ 280.5 (-115).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
Dak Prescott’s 278.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a material progression in his throwing ability over last year’s 241.0 figure.
This year, the shaky Bills defense has been torched for a colossal 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.

Cons

This year, the tough Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 4.4 YAC.
The Buffalo cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
263
Passing Yards