Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-112) after it opened @ 52.5 (-114).

Pros

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to earn 15.8 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
Tony Pollard has grinded out 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).
This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has given up a meager 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 28th-best rate in the NFL.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 8th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards