Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-120).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 96.9% of his team’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
In this week’s game, Ja’Marr Chase is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.0 targets.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Ja’Marr Chase has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (97.0 per game).
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.
Ja’Marr Chase has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (93.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards