Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- In this week’s contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.8 targets.
- When talking about air yards, Davante Adams grades out in the towering 98th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 121.0 per game.
- Davante Adams’s 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 75.0.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
- Davante Adams’s 70.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 89.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
