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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

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David Njoku

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Browns vs. Jaguars

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 32.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Browns may throw the ball less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 66.3 per game on average).
  • The Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to accrue 6.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Cons

  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • David Njoku has notched far fewer air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
  • David Njoku’s 43.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteworthy regression in his receiving ability over last year’s 50.0 rate.
  • David Njoku’s 64.9% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a meaningful decrease in his receiving ability over last year’s 77.2% rate.
  • David Njoku’s pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.26 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.91 mark last year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Juwan Johnson from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Breece Hall from EV Insight