Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110).

Pros

The Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.
Right now, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (66.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 138.0 offensive plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 96.9% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Ja’Marr Chase is positioned as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 86.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
The Colts defense has given up the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 142.0) to WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
82
Receiving Yards