Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jake BrowningPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Colts
Right now, Jake Browning’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 234.5 (-110) after it opened @ 226.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.
- Right now, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (66.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 138.0 offensive plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
- The predictive model expects Jake Browning to attempt 37.7 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
- With a fantastic 78.2% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, Jake Browning places as one of the most accurate passers in the NFL.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
- Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.0 per game) this year.
- As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
- This year, the strong Colts defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a meager 4.4 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards
244
Passing Yards
