Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zack MossRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Colts
Right now, Zack Moss’s rushing yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a massive 60.5 per game on average).
- In this week’s game, Zack Moss is projected by the model to rank in the 100th percentile among running backs with 23.6 rush attempts.
- Zack Moss’s 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a noteworthy improvement in his running skills over last season’s 34.0 rate.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 4.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Projection
THE BLITZ
101
Rushing Yards
101
Rushing Yards
