Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 299.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 299.5 (-110) after it opened @ 291.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 7.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
- The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.89 seconds per snap.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in football.
- Dak Prescott has passed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (280.0) this year than he did last year (241.0).
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- This year, the imposing Eagles defense has yielded the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a measly 4.3 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
298
Passing Yards
298
Passing Yards
