Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy from EV Insight

Brock PurdyPassing Yards

Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 269.5 (-114).

Pros

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Brock Purdy’s 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a significant boost in his throwing prowess over last year’s 151.0 rate.
Brock Purdy’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.4% to 71.4%.
Brock Purdy’s 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a remarkable improvement in his passing efficiency over last season’s 8.0% mark.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (255.0 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Cons

This game’s line implies an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are heavily favored by 14.5 points.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.6 per game on average).
In this contest, Brock Purdy is expected by the projection model to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.4.

Projection

THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards