Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brock PurdyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 269.5 (-114).
Pros
- Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 7th-most in football.
- Brock Purdy’s 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a significant boost in his throwing prowess over last year’s 151.0 rate.
- Brock Purdy’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.4% to 71.4%.
- Brock Purdy’s 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a remarkable improvement in his passing efficiency over last season’s 8.0% mark.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (255.0 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
Cons
- This game’s line implies an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are heavily favored by 14.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.6 per game on average).
- In this contest, Brock Purdy is expected by the projection model to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.4.
Projection
THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards
249
Passing Yards
