Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Baker MayfieldPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
Right now, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-137) after it opened @ 233.5 (-117).
Pros
- Baker Mayfield’s 231.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects a noteworthy growth in his passing prowess over last season’s 63.0 figure.
- The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive gameplan to skew 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
- This week’s line implies a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 128.6 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
- This year, the daunting Carolina Panthers defense has given up a measly 188.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
239
Passing Yards
239
Passing Yards
