Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren from EV Insight

Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards

Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-120).

Pros

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Steelers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Jaylen Warren’s 45.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a meaningful improvement in his rushing ability over last season’s 23.0 mark.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (146 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards