Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-105) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 66.9 plays per game.
In this game, Amari Cooper is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
Amari Cooper has notched far more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
Amari Cooper slots into the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 64.4 mark this year.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 52.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by the predictive model to call only 63.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
Amari Cooper’s 60.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 64.9% mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards