Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
Tyler Higbee has gone out for fewer passes this season (84.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (69.7%).
In this week’s game, Tyler Higbee is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.2 targets.

Cons

In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
Tyler Higbee has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
Tyler Higbee’s 64.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material decrease in his receiving prowess over last year’s 67.6% mark.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards