Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Khalil Herbert from EV Insight

Khalil HerbertRushing Yards

Right now, Khalil Herbert’s rushing yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 45.5 (-125).

Pros

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chicago Bears to run on 53.0% of their opportunities: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Khalil Herbert has generated 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (80th percentile).
This year, the poor Panthers run defense has surrendered a colossal 147.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in the league.

Cons

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards