Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Adam Thielen from EV Insight

Adam ThielenReceiving Yards

Right now, Adam Thielen’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 72.5 (-114).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive approach to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.
Adam Thielen has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (81.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).

Cons

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Panthers to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Panthers ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards