The leading projections forecast Cole Kmet to notch 5.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
With a remarkable 18.8% Target Share (92nd percentile) this year, Cole Kmet rates among the TEs with the highest volume in football.
Cole Kmet has totaled a massive 31.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among tight ends.
Cole Kmet has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
Cole Kmet’s possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 74.3% to 84.5%.
Cons
The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.4 per game) this year.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.