Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brett RypienPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Packers vs. Rams
Right now, Brett Rypien’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-115) after it opened @ 200.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Brett Rypien in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- A throwing game script is indicated by the Rams being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
- The Rams have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
- This year, the feeble Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a monstrous 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.
- The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, surrendering 7.96 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the league.
Cons
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
- The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay’s group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
219
Passing Yards
219
Passing Yards
