Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-113).

Pros

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Brett Rypien in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Rams being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The Rams have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
Tyler Higbee’s 85.4% Route Participation Rate this year conveys an impressive boost in his passing attack utilization over last year’s 69.7% figure.
This week, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by the projections to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.4 targets.

Cons

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Tyler Higbee profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 65.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.
This year, the imposing Green Bay Packers defense has given up a meager 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards