NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Packers vs. Rams
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Brett Rypien in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- A throwing game script is indicated by the Rams being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
- The Rams have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
- Tyler Higbee’s 85.4% Route Participation Rate this year conveys an impressive boost in his passing attack utilization over last year’s 69.7% figure.
- This week, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by the projections to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.4 targets.
Cons
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
- The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- Tyler Higbee profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 65.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.
- This year, the imposing Green Bay Packers defense has given up a meager 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
