NBA Prop of the Day
Jake Silverman
Kylen GransonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Panthers vs. Colts
Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-120).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
- The Colts O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.8%) versus TEs this year (79.8%).
Cons
- The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offensive gameplan to tilt 1.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
- The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
- This year, the fierce Carolina Panthers defense has given up a measly 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-best in the league.
- As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Carolina’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
