Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Keaontay IngramRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Browns vs. Cardinals
Right now, Keaontay Ingram’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (+100) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.7% run rate.
- In this contest, Keaontay Ingram is projected by the projections to place in the 90th percentile among running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
- The projections expect Keaontay Ingram to be a much bigger part of his team’s run game in this contest (58.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
Cons
- The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Clayton Tune.
- The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- With an atrocious total of 2.46 adjusted yards per carry (23rd percentile) this year, Keaontay Ingram rates among the bottom running backs in football at the position.
- Opposing teams have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 91.0 per game) versus the Browns defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
