Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-107/-121).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-107) after it opened @ 69.5 (-103).

Pros

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Brett Rypien in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Rams being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The Rams have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
Cooper Kupp has run a route on 99.3% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
This year, the feeble Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

Cons

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Cooper Kupp has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (84.0).
Cooper Kupp’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 56.9%.
Cooper Kupp’s 5.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year’s 6.9% figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards