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Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 9

Ravens vs. Seahawks

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-125) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

  • In terms of a defense’s impact on pace, at 27.60 seconds per play, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-fastest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Walker to total 13.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • With an impressive total of 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Kenneth Walker places among the leading RBs in football this year.
Cons

  • This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Seahawks, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Walker to be a less important option in his team’s run game in this week’s contest (57.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.1% in games he has played).
  • When talking about run-blocking (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the league last year.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 96.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mac Jones from EV Insight Next Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Roschon Johnson from EV Insight