Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-133) after it opened @ 53.5 (-119).

Pros

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to earn 16.2 carries in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
After accounting for 41.6% of his offense’s carries last year, Tony Pollard has been called on more in the run game this year, now sitting at 62.7%.
With an exceptional tally of 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the best pure rushers in football this year.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Cowboys offensive strategy to tilt 4.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 40.0% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Opposing squads have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in football (just 64.0 per game) vs. the Eagles defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards