Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-121/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-121) after it opened @ 57.5 (-121).

Pros

A running game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
Bijan Robinson has generated 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (81st percentile).

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards