Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Joe Mixon from EV Insight

Joe MixonRushing Yards

Right now, Joe Mixon’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-104) after it opened @ 53.5 (-117).

Pros

In this week’s contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 carries.
After taking on 68.6% of his team’s rush attempts last season, Joe Mixon has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for 85.7%.
Joe Mixon has picked up 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (84th percentile).

Cons

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 31.9% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Bengals to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league last year at run-game blocking.
Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 76.0 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards