Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers offensive approach to skew 2.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Chargers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.
At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The predictive model expects Austin Ekeler to notch 13.9 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Austin Ekeler has picked up 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (89th percentile).

Cons

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-least run-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 35.4% run rate.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
This year, the imposing Bears run defense has allowed a puny 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards