Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Garrett WilsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Giants vs. Jets
Right now, Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Jets may rely on the pass game less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
- The projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- As it relates to air yards, Garrett Wilson grades out in the lofty 89th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a colossal 95.0 per game.
- With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Garrett Wilson has been more heavily featured in his offense’s air attack.
- With a fantastic 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (80th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 52.0 per game on average).
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
