Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Sam Howell from EV Insight

Sam HowellPassing Yards

Right now, Sam Howell’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 237.5 (-110) after it opened @ 239.5 (-110).

Pros

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 13.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (39.1 per game) this year.
Sam Howell comes in as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 254.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Cons

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the league.
The Eagles defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards