Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brian RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, Brian Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (+106/-145).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 36.5 (-145) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- Brian Robinson has garnered 60.3% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 13.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to run on 33.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
- Brian Robinson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
- This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles run defense has given up a meager 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
