Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Kirk from EV Insight

Christian KirkReceiving Yards

Right now, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 53.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Christian Kirk to accrue 8.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
With a terrific 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Christian Kirk ranks among the leading WRs in the league in football.
This year, the porous Steelers defense has yielded a massive 187.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-worst in football.

Cons

This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a paltry 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards