Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trevor Lawrence from EV Insight

Trevor LawrencePassing Yards

Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-110) after it opened @ 235.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
This year, the poor Steelers defense has been gouged for the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 6.09 YAC.
The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in football versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (60.7% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
228
Passing Yards