Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Trevor LawrencePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Steelers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-110) after it opened @ 235.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- This year, the poor Steelers defense has been gouged for the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 6.09 YAC.
- The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in football versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (60.7% Adjusted Completion%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
228
Passing Yards
228
Passing Yards
