Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Packers vs. Vikings
Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
- This week, Jordan Addison is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.7 targets.
- The projections expect Jordan Addison to be a more integral piece of his offense’s passing game in this week’s contest (23.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.9% in games he has played).
- Jordan Addison has accumulated a colossal 74.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.1 plays per game.
- With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jordan Addison has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football in the open field.
- This year, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has conceded a puny 138.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-fewest in the league.
- The Packers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay’s unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
