Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-124/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-124) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns will be forced to use backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
- Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.7 per game on average).
- The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.
Cons
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Amari Cooper’s 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last year’s 71.0 figure.
- Amari Cooper’s 53.9% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 64.9% figure.
- Amari Cooper’s 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 9.6 mark.
- This year, the strong Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a mere 3.4 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards
55
Receiving Yards
