Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
P.J. WalkerPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Browns
Right now, P.J. Walker’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-110) after it opened @ 195.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns will be forced to use backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
- Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.7 per game on average).
- The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.
Cons
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Phillip Walker has attempted a mere 21.9 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile among QBs.
- Phillip Walker is positioned as one of the weakest passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 123.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 13th percentile.
- Phillip Walker’s 48.7% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a remarkable drop-off in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 57.3% figure.
- With a lackluster 5.23 adjusted yards-per-target (14th percentile) this year, Phillip Walker ranks among the worst per-play quarterbacks in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
200
Passing Yards
200
Passing Yards
