NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Giants may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average).
- The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 77.9% to 88.7%.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 50.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
- Wan’Dale Robinson has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
- The New York offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 5.98 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.85 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards
36
Receiving Yards
