Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-145/+106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-145) after it opened @ 60.5 (-117).

Pros

This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 3 points.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the projections to call 66.9 total plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
The most plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 67.2 per game on average).
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
D’Andre Swift has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (75.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).

Cons

As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Miami’s unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards