NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Buccaneers vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 64.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
- When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
- Jared Goff’s 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a a material boost in his passing accuracy over last year’s 65.1% rate.
- Jared Goff has been among the best per-play QBs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 7.68 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 54.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
- The Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.31 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Tampa Bay’s group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
231
Passing Yards
231
Passing Yards
