WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Raiders vs. Packers
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 80.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- This week, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.8 targets.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
- The Packers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 9.17 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
Cons
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 123.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
- The Raiders have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.
- This year, the daunting Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 4.0 YAC.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay’s collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
107
Receiving Yards
107
Receiving Yards
