NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Justin JeffersonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Vikings vs. Chiefs
Right now, Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at 99.5 yards (-134/+102).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 99.5 (+102) after it opened @ 103.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Vikings are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 67.9% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 133.2 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Justin Jefferson’s 138.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 103.0 mark.
Cons
- The Vikings have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.
- This year, the fierce Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
- The Chiefs pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts this year, allowing 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
- The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the 8th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
128
Receiving Yards
128
Receiving Yards
