WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Brock PurdyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
49ers vs. Cowboys
Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 245.5 (-110) after it opened @ 236.5 (-110).
Pros
- Brock Purdy’s 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a a significant progression in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 151.0 mark.
- Brock Purdy’s 73.1% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a a remarkable growth in his passing accuracy over last season’s 66.4% rate.
- Brock Purdy’s 9.44 adjusted yards-per-target this season marks a a noteworthy improvement in his passing efficiency over last season’s 8.0% figure.
Cons
- This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
- Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards
224
Passing Yards
