Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-113) after it opened @ 39.5 (-109).
Pros
- The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Eagles to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- D’Andre Swift’s running efficiency (6.05 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (92nd percentile among RBs).
Cons
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards
48
Rushing Yards
