NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Saints vs. Panthers
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
- Chris Olave has totaled a monstrous 110.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among WRs.
- Chris Olave’s 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 94th percentile for WRs.
Cons
- The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
- Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 62.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among wide receivers
Projection
THE BLITZ
77
Receiving Yards
77
Receiving Yards
